Home Science The Subsequent Pangea: What Earth’s Future Supercontinent Will Look Like

The Subsequent Pangea: What Earth’s Future Supercontinent Will Look Like


Unfathomable ages in the past, the continents of the Earth weren’t of their present locations. A single monumental landmass dominated the globe, a supercontinent retroactively referred to as Pangea (or Pangaea, when you desire; both method, it is Greek for “all Earth”). By an extended and infinitesimally sluggish strategy of fracturing and continental drift, we ended up with our acquainted seven continents. 

That’s the story as you in all probability discovered it — however it’s not the entire story. From our human viewpoint, the present world map appears a fait accompli. However plate tectonics is a steady course of; even now we’re present process long-term modifications whose progress we can not understand — a cycle that performs out over a whole lot of thousands and thousands of years. There have been supercontinents earlier than Pangea; and unfathomable ages therefore, there’ll doubtless be others.

Movers and Shakers of the Revolution

Sixteenth-century cartographer Abraham Ortelius was the first to envision the coastlines of America, Europe and Africa as becoming collectively like puzzle items. Geological similarities within the bedrock additional recommended that these continents had been as soon as a part of a single mass. Geophysicist and meteorologist Alfred Wegener within the early 1900s elaborated on this concept, calling it “continental drift.”

However as a result of Wegener’s mannequin lacked a believable mechanism for continental motion, most thinkers of the age did not catch his drift. Certainly, Wegener’s thought was largely dismissed till the Nineteen Fifties, when British geologist Arthur Holmes proposed that convection within the Earth’s mantle drove spreading within the ocean ground. 

Holmes’ insights impressed subsequent analysis amongst physicists, geologists and seismologists worldwide. By the late Sixties, mounting proof had moved the consensus towards acceptance of the brand new science of plate tectonics. So swift and full was this paradigm shift that some referred to as it “the plate tectonics revolution.”

In extremely simplified phrases, continental drift happens as a result of solely a comparatively small proportion of the Earth’s substance is strong matter. The floor of the planet, each the dry land and the ocean ground, truly consists of rocky plates, every about 100 kilometers thick. This, the lithosphere, rests upon a layer of superheated rock, the asthenosphere. On the boundary between the 2 areas, the place temperatures are round 1300° C, the mantle acts as a dense, extremely viscous fluid, buoying the inflexible crust. Items of the lithosphere — seven main plates and dozens of microplates — glide ever-so-slowly throughout the asthenosphere like a puck throughout an air-hockey desk, moved by a mix of thermal convection, gravity and rotational forces.

Cycle of Supercontinents

The movement of those continental plates doubtless began about 3.5 billion years ago, producing quite a few configurations by way of the ages, the main points of that are largely speculative. Early supercontinents fashioned whereas dry land was nonetheless rising from the seas, so that they had been far smaller than Pangea. The primary of those, Ur — on the time Earth’s solely landmass — fashioned 3 billion years in the past; its stays represent elements of Australia, India, and Madagascar. Over the following 300 million years, further land fashioned by way of volcanic motion, clustering with Ur to type Kenorland. After 100 million years, Kenorland broke aside, and the cycle started anew. 

As new tectonic plates fashioned, they collided with present landmasses, forming a collection of ever-larger supercontinents: Columbia, then Rodinia and most just lately Pangea, which fashioned about 335 million years in the past, stretching from pole to pole alongside the longitudes of the mid-Atlantic. 

Dueling Hypotheses

What is going to the following Pangea appear like? It is exhausting to inform. The human-observable results of plate tectonics are minuscule — an annual displacement of round 4 centimeters, the width of a honeybee’s wingspan — so good luck monitoring that with a calendar and a ruler. However, researchers have theorized quite a few potential outcomes. 

the next pangea four options - University of Lisbon, Portugal

(Credit score: Hannah S. Davies/Lisbon College, Portugal)

In 1982, American geologist Christopher Scotese posited Pangea Proxima — actually “the following Pangea.” (Scotese initially referred to as his speculation Pangea Ultima, that means “the ultimate Pangea,” earlier than, lastly, hedging his bets.) From his research of the formation of earlier supercontinents, Scotese imagines a ring-shaped landmass. In his state of affairs, the Americas butt towards Africa, which tilts eastward to dock with Eurasia; the latter has flipped perpendicular. South America and India type the shoreline of an inland sea.

The subsequent decade noticed American and South African researchers proposing another association referred to as Amasia. Extrapolating from the gradual widening of the Atlantic, they envision the Pacific Ocean “closing” because the Americas drift westward, fusing with Australia, then pivot clockwise round to Siberia; Eurasia and Africa retain their present longitudinal place, however shift northward, with the entire mass circling across the North Pole. Antarctica stays a separate landmass.

Within the late Nineteen Nineties, British geophysicist Roy Livermore postulated a configuration that he dubbed Novopangaea. Right here, the Americas type its japanese edge, their western coastlines swinging collectively like pincers to embrace the docked mass of Antarctica and Australia on the hub. Africa legs off to the northwest.

A current projection, Aurica, proposed in 2016, builds on analysis from the American Geophysical Union correlating ocean tides with the supercontinent cycle. Aurica is roughly just like Novopangaea, however posits a rift separating China and India from the remainder of Eurasia, inflicting the previous to collide with Australia from the west whereas the latter circles the globe eastward earlier than docking with the brand new supercontinent.

An Evolutionary Growth

Nonetheless the following supercontinent arises, the cycle may have cataclysmic environmental results. Violent outcomes happen at any time when two plates meet. Collisions spawn mountain ranges or volcanoes; plates sliding in parallel create seismologically unstable fault strains. The dissolution of each Kenorland and Rodinia triggered climate patterns leading to ice ages thousands and thousands of years lengthy.

However Rodinia’s dissolution 550 million years in the past additionally fostered the circumstances obligatory for terrestrial life. The collision of continental plates raised the ocean ground, creating the shallower basins that allowed aquatic life to make the evolutionary leap to dry land. Future iterations of the cycle may likewise kickstart an evolutionary growth.

Present tectonic exercise seems comparatively settled and can doubtless stay so for a lot of millennia. Any modifications lie not less than 100 million years sooner or later — by which period we’ll all be previous caring. (As Livermore quipped in 2007, “The fantastic thing about all that is that nobody will ever be capable of show me mistaken.”) Nevertheless it’s fascinating to ponder the form of the world we depart to those that come after us — creatures as distant in time from humanity as we’re from the dinosaurs.


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